Tory opinion poll lead shrinks from 20% to just 6% in 1 year

[Ousetunes]

Hopefully, people will decide they don't want to see their Public Services decimated whilst some wealthy people get even wealthier and not vote for the Tories.

 

The gap between the poor and the rich has continued to increase under this government.

 

It's time for change, there's a smell of decay in the air and this lot have had long enough.

[mj.scuba]

CONservatives on 38%?

 

Ah right, thanks for clarifying that the CONSERVATIVES ARE STILL IN THE LEAD

[Entwhistle]

I really think that the best possible outcome of the next election would be a hung parliament.

I will supply the rope, who knows how to tie nooses and who will operate the trap door. I am sure there will be no shortage of volunteers!

[wednesday1]

Ah right, thanks for clarifying that the CONSERVATIVES ARE STILL IN THE LEAD

 

 

 

Well I've heard of turkey's voting for Christmas but you really take the biscuit!

Unemployed, lives in Wincobank and votes Tory!!!:loopy: Smarmy Dave must have seen you coming!

[lizmachin]

YouGov show Tory lead cut to 7 points

Posted on January 29th, 2010 by Anthony Wells

A third new poll today, this one from YouGov in the Daily Telegraph. YouGov show a further narrowing of the Conservative lead, with topline figures of CON 38%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 19%(+1).

 

Unlike MORI’s poll the changes are well within the margin of error, but it’s a further whittling away of the Tory lead. This is the smallest Conservative lead from YouGov since the Labour conference (and one needs to go all the way back to December 2008 to find a smaller one).

 

The Telegraph’s own report of the poll isn’t up yet (this is from Reuters), but hopefully we will get the normal YouGov/Telegraph trackers and will be able to see exactly what affect the end of the recession had on economic confidence, and whether that might have contributed to the narrowing polling lead.

 

 

 

But isn't 7 more than 6?

 

So what you are actually saying is the Tories have increased their polls lead since you started this thread 2 months ago.

[mj.scuba]

Well I've heard of turkey's voting for Christmas but you really take the biscuit!

Unemployed, lives in Wincobank and votes Tory!!!:loopy: Smarmy Dave must have seen you coming!

 

I'm not unemployed. People do work for a living round these parts.

[TeaFan]

While parties are in opposition, they can promise more or less anything since they won't be asked to put their money where their mouth is. Now that the Tories are expecting to be in government soon, they are watering down many of their promises, on single sex hospital wards for example http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1240659/Conservative-party-retreat-mixed-wards-promise.html

 

Starting to backpedal on promises could well hurt their vote. The fact that the Tories are only between 6 - 10% ahead of the dire NuLab in the polls is probably an indicator of how hated they were by 1997, a hatred that even 13 years hasn't erased.

[lizmachin]

While parties are in opposition, they can promise more or less anything since they won't be asked to put their money where their mouth is. Now that the Tories are expecting to be in government soon, they are watering down many of their promises, on single sex hospital wards for example http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1240659/Conservative-party-retreat-mixed-wards-promise.html

 

Starting to backpedal on promises could well hurt their vote. The fact that the Tories are only between 6 - 10% ahead of the dire NuLab in the polls is probably an indicator of how hated they were by 1997, a hatred that even 13 years hasn't erased.

 

 

I am probably stating the obvious here but isn't a 6-10 point lead like saying they have around 25-30% more people who say they intend voting for them?

[Berberis]

Yet again another brain washed Labour supporter crowing over one tiny poll and disregarding all others.

 

The voting poll average is still:

 

Conservative 39%

Labour 29%

Lib Dem 19%

 

and the recent poll results are as follows:

 

DATE - CN - LB - LD - Result

------------------------------

29 Jan - 38 - 31 - 19 - Con +7

28 Jan - 40 - 32 - 16 - Con +8

27 Jan - 40 - 24 - 19 - Con +16

24 Jan - 40 - 29 - 21 - Con +11

21 Jan - 38 - 29 - 19 - Con +9

15 Jan - 40 - 31 - 18 - Con +9

14 Jan - 42 - 29 - 19 - Con +13

10 Jan - 41 - 28 - 19 - Con +13

10 Jan - 40 - 24 - 20 - Con +16

07 Jan - 40 - 30 - 18 - Con +10

07 Jan - 42 - 30 - 16 - Con +12

06 Jan - 40 - 31 - 17 - Con +9

30 Dec - 40 - 30 - 17 - Con +10

20 Dec - 38 - 29 - 19 - Con +9

18 Dec - 40 - 24 - 20 - Con +16

17 Dec - 40 - 28 - 18 - Con +12

13 Dec - 43 - 26 - 20 - Con +17

13 Dec - 40 - 31 - 18 - Con +9

11 Dec - 40 - 31 - 16 - Con +9

11 Dec - 41 - 30 - 17 - Con +11

10 Dec - 41 - 24 - 21 - Con +17

10 Dec - 40 - 23 - 19 - Con +17

06 Dec - 38 - 30 - 20 - Con +8

04 Dec - 40 - 27 - 18 - Con +13

03 Dec - 40 - 29 - 19 - Con +11

[TeaFan]

I am probably stating the obvious here but isn't a 6-10 point lead like saying they have around 25-30% more people who say they intend voting for them?

 

It's thought that if the Tories turn out to have a 7 or 8 point lead, their parliamentary majority will be only around 30 seats which is not good. If Labour claw back a couple of points by May, then it's looking more like a hung parliament. Not a good showing given how poor NuLab are.