Tory opinion poll lead shrinks from 20% to just 6% in 1 year

[Berberis]

It's thought that if the Tories turn out to have a 7 or 8 point lead, their parliamentary majority will be only around 30 seats which is not good. If Labour claw back a couple of points by May, then it's looking more like a hung parliament. Not a good showing given how poor NuLab are.

 

When the economy double dips into recession, which is odds on favourite, labours slim chance of causing any kind of upset towards a Tory government is out of the window and many MP's think that is going to happen. Just look at the number of labour MP's announcing they are not standing at the next election.

 

I personally do not put much merit in opinion polls as they only show a little piece of the picture. If you really want to know how people are going to vote, speak to those around you and those further afield. From the people I have spoken too, Labour has little support apart from the die hard Labour fan club who would never vote for anyone else. These people you can disregard as they are not making decisions on politics but on family and traditional grounds.

 

The people who will hand the next government the keys to number 10 are the floating voter and they are not happy with Labour. This is apparent in the large inroads the BNP are doing to Labour vote shares leaving the conservative and lib dem shares virtually untouched.

 

Labour is a dead duck, they no longer represent the working class. The champagne socialist party is over. With a little bit of luck Labour will be consigned to the dustbin of political parties that stopped representing their voters and a real socialist party can take their place on the left of the political divide.

[Berberis]

And to put the final nail in the coffin of this idea that Labour are somehow gaining support and ground on the Conservatives.

 

There will be another YouGov poll in the People tomorrow with the following:

 

CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%

 

There has been very little change in the poll results over the last few months, with the conservatives sitting at 40% or there abouts for some time. The only real reason for fluctuations in the results has been attributed to sample error and is not an indication of any sizeable shifts in voter intention at the next election.

 

You (labour supporters) may wish to see something more in recent figures than what is really the case, but you will be disappointed come May when Gordon Brown is well and truly thrown out of office.

 

If you are a Labour supporter then once they are out of office do your bit and try to guide Labour back to its roots and represent the working classes, but don’t stick to the party through some form of perverted brand loyalty please.

[TeaFan]

I personally do not put much merit in opinion polls as they only show a little piece of the picture.

 

And to put the final nail in the coffin of this idea that Labour are somehow gaining support and ground on the Conservatives.

 

There will be another YouGov poll in the People tomorrow with the following:

 

CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%

 

Which is it?

 

Labour is a dead duck, they no longer represent the working class. The champagne socialist party is over. With a little bit of luck Labour will be consigned to the dustbin of political parties that stopped representing their voters and a real socialist party can take their place on the left of the political divide.

 

Now that I agree with.

[sccsux]

Conservative 39%

Labour 29%

Lib Dem 19%

 

Conservative majority of 10%

 

CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%

 

Conservative majority 9%

 

 

So Liebore have close on the Bories by 1% in the last 45 minutes?

[wednesday1]

Yet again another brain washed Labour supporter crowing over one tiny poll and disregarding all others.

 

The voting poll average is still:

 

Conservative 39%

Labour 29%

Lib Dem 19%

 

and the recent poll results are as follows:

 

DATE - CN - LB - LD - Result

------------------------------

29 Jan - 38 - 31 - 19 - Con +7

28 Jan - 40 - 32 - 16 - Con +8

27 Jan - 40 - 24 - 19 - Con +16

24 Jan - 40 - 29 - 21 - Con +11

21 Jan - 38 - 29 - 19 - Con +9

15 Jan - 40 - 31 - 18 - Con +9

14 Jan - 42 - 29 - 19 - Con +13

10 Jan - 41 - 28 - 19 - Con +13

10 Jan - 40 - 24 - 20 - Con +16

07 Jan - 40 - 30 - 18 - Con +10

07 Jan - 42 - 30 - 16 - Con +12

06 Jan - 40 - 31 - 17 - Con +9

30 Dec - 40 - 30 - 17 - Con +10

20 Dec - 38 - 29 - 19 - Con +9

18 Dec - 40 - 24 - 20 - Con +16

17 Dec - 40 - 28 - 18 - Con +12

13 Dec - 43 - 26 - 20 - Con +17

13 Dec - 40 - 31 - 18 - Con +9

11 Dec - 40 - 31 - 16 - Con +9

11 Dec - 41 - 30 - 17 - Con +11

10 Dec - 41 - 24 - 21 - Con +17

10 Dec - 40 - 23 - 19 - Con +17

06 Dec - 38 - 30 - 20 - Con +8

04 Dec - 40 - 27 - 18 - Con +13

03 Dec - 40 - 29 - 19 - Con +11

 

 

More garbage from loopy Luton boy!

All I did was to copy the article from the YouGov page, all the commentary was that of YouGovs, it is they that suggest the opinion polls are narrowing.

[wednesday1]

I'm not unemployed. People do work for a living round these parts.

 

 

Apologies then, was just the amount of time you seem to be on here! I assumed wrongly.

[Berberis]

Conservative majority of 10%

 

 

 

Conservative majority 9%

 

 

So Liebore have close on the Bories by 1% in the last 45 minutes?

 

I was highlighting that there had been no real change in support over the last few years for the top three parties. There are fluctuations but these are accredited to sample error and the average support has been affected very little.

[Berberis]

More garbage from loopy Luton boy!

All I did was to copy the article from the YouGov page, all the commentary was that of YouGovs, it is they that suggest the opinion polls are narrowing.

 

Your YouGov poll is damming evidence of a increase in Labour support while all those that came before, including YouGov's are garbage

 

Typical of a blind socialist to disregard all data that does not support their point of view.

[Berberis]

Which is it?

 

I take little from polls , but others may wish to have the full facts rather then the OP's rose or should I say, red tinted glasses version of the facts.

[wednesday1]

Here you go, fresh from the Daily Hate Mail:

 

Tory poll lead slips as party denies David Cameron rift with George Osborne

By Simon Walters

Last updated at 1:21 AM on 31st January 2010

Comments (19) Add to My Stories

David Cameron’s lead over Gordon Brown has slipped to nine points as the Tories yesterday denied reports of a rift between the party leader and Shadow Chancellor George Osborne.

A BPIX survey for The Mail on Sunday showed the Conservatives on 39 points, Labour on 30 and Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats on 18.

If the figures were repeated in the Election, it would result in a hung Parliament, leaving Mr Cameron nine seats short of an overall Commons majority. He would then be forced to form a pact with Mr Clegg or the Ulster Unionists to get into No10.

Rift? Tory officials dismissed claims of policy differences between Cameron and Osborne

It is the first time for more than two years that the Tory rating has fallen below the crucial 40 per cent threshold in a BPIX poll. In June 2008, the Conservatives were on 49 per cent, 23 points ahead of Labour.

The new figures come as senior Tory officials dismissed claims of policy differences between Mr Cameron and Mr Osborne.

According to one report, members of Mr Osborne’s Treasury team were surprised at Mr Cameron’s statement on Friday that spending cuts would not be ‘particularly extensive’ in the first year of a Tory government.

Mr Osborne is also said to be ‘unenthusiastic’ about Mr Cameron’s promise – reaffirmed in recent weeks – to introduce tax breaks for married couples.

In addition, he is said to want to copy Labour’s Election ‘pledge card’ on the grounds voters are not yet convinced they will better off under the Conservatives.

Mr Cameron is understood to be against the idea, arguing that it lacks originality.

However, Conservative insiders say claims that the pair have fallen out are ‘complete nonsense’. One senior aide said: ‘They are like peas in a pod. They agree on virtually all the main issues and always have.

‘They have just been to the Davos economic summit together and spent hours chatting and socialising together. They even travelled together. The reason they combined their offices – and intend to do so if we win the Election – is precisely because there is complete trust between them.’

Closer: The news BPIX poll for the Mail on Sunday

Advisers of both men are quick to point out that their relationship could not be more different to the endless battles between Tony Blair and Mr Brown.

One MP who knows both well said: ‘David and George actually enjoy each other’s company, not something you would say about Blair and Brown.

‘There are political differences between them: George is more socially liberal than Dave. But you are talking about nuances not splits.’

An instinctive tax cutter, Mr Osborne was behind the Tory’s plan to abolish inheritance tax, a measure which has been put on the back burner.

He is also believed to have argued for the party to cut income tax as soon as possible depending on the speed of the economic recovery, and is known to advocate big spending cuts.

In contrast, Mr Cameron emphasises the need to protect the NHS and education to guard against Labour claims that the Tories will close schools and hospitals if they win power.

A handful of Conservatives want to see former Chancellor Ken Clarke given Mr Osborne’s job. But senior Tories say Mr Cameron is determined to stay loyal to his long-term friend.

 

 

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1247426/Tory-poll-lead-slips-party-denies-David-Cameron-rift-George-Osborne.html#ixzz0eByKk2Bd

 

 

 

Sounds like the wheels are coming off before they've started!