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Interest Rate Predictions


Increase or otherwise in interest rates today?  

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  1. 1. Increase or otherwise in interest rates today?



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Alright then let me rephrase. Following George Osbournes budget today I believe that interest rates will rise, would anyone like to predict by what amount?

 

With all the current inflation stats looking a bit grim, they may increase rates by a token 0.25% at some point within the next 3 or 4 months.

 

The MPC meets monthly for a two-day meeting, usually on the Wednesday and Thursday after the first Monday of each month, so April's meeting should be interesting.

 

The March vote was 6-3 in favour of holding IRS at record lows (link).

 

Given that even CPI inflation is more than double their 2% target and that they have repeatedly missed this target for the last 10 years, don't expect swift, decisive action to deal with inflation any time soon.

 

Mervyn King unconcerned at inflation above target

 

Anyone who has followed Merv's pronouncements will know that inflation is always going to fall back to 2% "in a year" or "in 18 months". And yet, years later, here we are.

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