callippo Posted September 22, 2011 Share Posted September 22, 2011 cool temperate climates like the UK's are among the easier for weather forecasters to predict, of all the world's weather systems. Even so, it is next to impossible for them to predict the weather with any accuracy further ahead than about a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadingNorth Posted September 22, 2011 Share Posted September 22, 2011 All weather services run "models" and slightly tweak them and then re-run to see what the predictions then look after that and so on. They do, indeed, run such models. What the models inevitably show is that even a deviation in wind speed of 1 inch per hour, or a variation in temperature of one millionth of a degree, leads to such wildly varying end results that it's flatly impossible to make reliable weather predictions for more than four or five days in advance. When the Met Office says that there is a higher than normal probability of a worse than usual winter, they mean exactly that; they emphatically do not mean what the newspapers usually say they've predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rothschild Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Boring!!! Winter is allways cold and wet and costs a fortune to keep warm......and I hate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullerboY Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 If people didn't read or listen to the weather reports it would just be a normal winter to most of us oldies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sccsux Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Same old news. Surely you mean "same old olds"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Ryan* Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Best time to book a holiday if u dont like it. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickiethecat Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 The US firm that predicted last year’s Arctic snap as well as the previous big freeze of 2009-2010 also warned that we might be in for another cold spell. Weather Services International said October, November and December would see temperatures around two degrees lower than average. Spokesman Dan Leonard said: “[it will be] 0-1 degrees below average in the UK for October and November. Cooling to 1-2 degrees below average in December. “We haven’t released a winter forecast yet but the upper-level pattern we expect to develop in December suggests at least a cool, stormy start to the winter over the UK and much of northern mainland Europe.” WSI’s chief meteorologist, Dr Todd Crawford, added: “We *currently expect the coldest temperatures to be confined to western Europe.” Jonathan Powell, senior forecaster for Positive Weather Solutions, said the UK was set for an “exceptionally dry” two months which, if coupled with high pressure, could compound a cold spell. The warnings come just a week after the tail-end of Hurricane Katia *battered Britain with winds reaching 82mph. In other words, we're going to have a season called "winter" this year. Just like we have every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jane123 Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Presumably this will follow the wonderful barbecue summer we were promised! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlades Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 This I do not believe... -20 in the UK?!? No chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
missymoo73 Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 :hihi:I LUUUUUUUUUUUURVE snow... let it snow let it snow let it snow BLIZZARD stylee I'll second that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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