PeteMorris Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 Has smoking increased since the advertising ban and the "under the counter" rule? I havn't seen a graph, but logically, probably not. More likely a decline. But having said that, I presume smoking figures are based on legitament sales. I just wonder (although I don't know) if there is a corresponding line upwards in the level of black marketeering? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
truman Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I havn't seen a graph, but logically, probably not. More likely a decline. But having said that, I presume smoking figures are based on legitament sales. I just wonder (although I don't know) if there is a corresponding line upwards in the level of black marketeering? I don't know... I just asked the question.. If more counterfeits are being produced and sold then you'd probably expect a bigger detection of them as well...don't know if there are any figures for this either.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caparo Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I havn't seen a graph, but logically, probably not. More likely a decline. But having said that, I presume smoking figures are based on legitament sales. I just wonder (although I don't know) if there is a corresponding line upwards in the level of black marketeering? I can help you out then http://info.cancerresearchuk.org/cancerstats/types/lung/smoking/lung-cancer-and-smoking-statistics Smoking in the UK has been reduced by around 50% over the past decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeteMorris Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 I don't know... I just asked the question.. If more counterfeits are being produced and sold then you'd probably expect a bigger detection of them as well...don't know if there are any figures for this either.. I don't know the detection rates either, but in that quote I posted earlier it did say that 65% of cigarettes seized in the EU were counterfeit. Which as far as the counterfeiters are concerned is just an occupational hazard I would presume, and is absolutely no deterrent whatsoever! As we know with the drugs trade. For every loophole they think they plug, the criminals get ever more sophisticated and are pretty much always one step ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeteMorris Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 I can help you out then http://info.cancerresearchuk.org/cancerstats/types/lung/smoking/lung-cancer-and-smoking-statistics Smoking in the UK has been reduced by around 50% over the past decade. Thank you. As I assumed. A decline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caparo Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Thank you. As I assumed. A decline You are welcome. It is the Government's target to eliminate smoking in the UK by 2050. Obviously there will be a Grow your own element, but as similar targets are proposed around the EU smuggling will get harder. I would expect that over the next few years more stringent rules, taxes and restrictions will continue to be rolled out. It certainly won't get any easier or cheaper to smoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeteMorris Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 You are welcome. It is the Government's target to eliminate smoking in the UK by 2050. Obviously there will be a Grow your own element, but as similar targets are proposed around the EU smuggling will get harder. I would expect that over the next few years more stringent rules, taxes and restrictions will continue to be rolled out. It certainly won't get any easier or cheaper to smoke. Well without wishing to be off topic. We all know about government targets, they rarely come to fruition, and of course as soon as there is a change of government, then they can hold their hands up and say, the failure is nothing to do with us, cos we're not controlling it any more! I guess you're right, and it doesn't matter what I think or you think they will do whatever they want. Smoking will get harder and more expensive, but I don't think the trade in illicit tobacco will go away anytime soon. The harder the government try to bury the problem, the more the traffickers will profit. You only have to look at the drug problem. That's not promoted with shiny packaging, or advertising, yet the drugs trade thrives. With their current policies on enforcement etc, they will never beat the problem. Don't get me wrong, I don't advocate smoking. I wish I had never started, but I do, and I enjoy it (most of the time). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alchresearch Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Oh... more insults I see. Never mind, there's always one. Caparo accusing you of "supposition and guesswork." is hardly an insult. Much of your argument is based on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeteMorris Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 Caparo accusing you of "supposition and guesswork." is hardly an insult. Much of your argument is based on that. I suggest you read all of the post a little more carefully. That was not what I took exception to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
truman Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Well without wishing to be off topic. We all know about government targets, they rarely come to fruition, Don't you think targets a re a good thing?Is it better to say ,for example,"we'll throw £50 million at this and see what happens" or " we'll throw £50 million at this and we hope to reduce smoking by 25%" ? How do you measure the succcess or not of an initiative if you don't set out at the beginning what you think the result should be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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