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Apophis 2026 2.7% apocalypse


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Whenever there's an anouncement of an asteroid or meteor near-miss, I always wonder

if the powers that be would actually tell us peasants of an impending collision.

Surely you would want to keep the population in blissful ignorance.

 

This particular space rock only has to have the lightest kiss on a similar object and

it may well be on a collision coarse with our little planet with no possibility if

missing us.

 

On skygazing, or whatever it was called, they asked some NASA chick what could be done if an impact was forecast. She gave some credible sounding scenarios where the asteroid could be pushed it pulled off its trajectory, but I reckon whilst these theories would work, in practice I doubt we have the technology to implement them.

 

So we'd most likely be boned!

 

 

 

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Apophis is an asteroid. It passed Earth at the weekend and it turned out to be bigger than previously thought. It's about half a mile across.

 

When it returns in 2029 it will be much closer, an estimated 18,000 miles away. That's less than the circumference of the Earth, but there is a 2.7% chance that it will collide with Earth.

 

If it collides, the human race may be wiped out.

 

Makes you think, doesn't it?

 

Not unless you have too much time on your hands. ;)

 

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/apophis/

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To put this into perspective, the asteroid that is suspected of causing the Cretaceous extinction event 65million years ago and created the Chicxulub crater on the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico was around 10k in diameter when it hit the ground - maybe larger. If in the very unlikely event that 99942 Apophis does impact Earth, it would certainly cause considerable damage to the environment.

 

If the rock that caused the extinction of the dinosaurs was only 6 miles in diameter; you'd think a puny 0.25 mile diameter rock (only 1/14000th the volume of the 6 mile diameter rock) wouldn't do much damage...

 

Would it make a difference if it hit the earth head-on, or if it was just just a glancing blow?

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If the rock that caused the extinction of the dinosaurs was only 6 miles in diameter; you'd think a puny 0.25 mile diameter rock (only 1/14000th the volume of the 6 mile diameter rock) wouldn't do much damage...

 

Would it make a difference if it hit the earth head-on, or if it was just just a glancing blow?

 

It would do plenty of damage if it struck. Ever heard of the Tunguska explosion in Siberia in 1908? An asteroid or comet fragment estimated to have been a mere 100m in diameter caused an air burst explosion with the energy of around 30 megatons of TNT (1,000 times the force of the Hiroshima bomb). It completely levelled 830 square miles of forest. And this thing didn't even reach the ground.

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