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UKIP and the Eastleigh by election - results now in


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NHS suffers ‘brain drain’ of doctors

 

"Many of the young medics have failed to secure jobs in the UK because there are more places in medical schools than jobs available and they are not sufficiently experienced to practise privately."

 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5063a2a0-b651-11e1-8ad0-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2MNpwObMT

 

Makes you wonder how foreign doctors get jobs here, is it because they are cheaper.

 

Does n't it?Perhaps they are on existing contracts and more amenable to relocation?Would you object if they were paid less?

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Governments are invariably unpopular mid-term, so a by-election isn't the most reliable guide to how a party will do at a general election.

 

 

So that explains why the Tories, and maybe the Lib Dems, did so poorly; but not why Labour did not get a look in.

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Labour never do well around there. Labour have no chance in consituencies like Eastleigh.

Even in 1997, their best ever year, they only managed 25%. Eastleigh is really a safe Tory seat that the Libs have managed to snatch from their grasp a bit like Bermondsey, which used to be a safe Labour seat but was taken by the Libs in 1982 in a by election but which they have kept ever since. Or even Berwick, which Liberal Alan Beith won in a by election over the Tory by 50 votes in 1973 but but has kept ever since.

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Labour never do well around there. Labour have no chance in consituencies like Eastleigh.

 

It might have been a long shot to win, but the opposition party should do well when the Government (including the Liberal Democrats) are cutting budgets and we are heading for a triple recession.

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Labour did do quite well or certainly not all that badly considering they had no chance in the seat at all. The Tories and the Liberals dropped 13% and the Tories 14% from 2010 whereas Labour increased their vote slightly, when you consider that at least some of the few people who voted Labour in Eastleigh in 2010 must have switched to UKIP, Labour did OK to just keep their vote share the same.

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Labour did OK to just keep their vote share the same.

 

I dont agree.

 

Labour got 9.6% in 2010, and 9.8% in 2013; yet back in the 3 previous elections Labour polled over 20% every time. UKIP are seen as more of a right wing party, they would take more Tory votes than Labour.

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UKIP took potential votes away from Labour same as they did from the Libs and the Tories, though not as many. Immigration and Europe are key issues for core Labour voters. Also some Eastleigh Labour voters who may not have voted tactically before, will have voted Liberal this time to keep the Tory out. The loser here are the Conservatives. They had an opportunity to get one of their biggest target seats back but unlike with Christchurch and Newark, which they lost in by elections in the 1992-7 Parliament just like they did Eastleigh, they couldn't do it. They should have won. Turnout was down 17%. I bet a lot of those missing voters were Tory voters in 2010 who just couldn't bring themselves to turn out at all.

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