Wildcat Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 A bit of his (Phil Jones) interview with the beeb "B - Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods. This little video alos explains a bit further than my previous post why that quote is not incompatible with him also saying: BBC: How confident are you that warming has taken place and that humans are mainly responsible? Phil Jones: I'm 100% confident that the climate has warmed. As to the second question, I would go along with IPCC Chapter 9 - there's evidence that most of the warming since the 1950s is due to human activity. http://www.youtube.com/user/greenman3610#p/a/u/0/cp-iB6jwjUc In fact it tells us the Economist has described the Daily Mail's take on the quotation as an outright lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbyBrown Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 Global warming is definatly happening. Even on the South Coast of England, women during the summer even take their bra off when sunbathing. If this is not evidence, then I don't know what evidence you need. Even as short as 20 years ago, or even 10 years, women kept their tops on because it was too cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lockjaw Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 That's why I believe it to be 'tosh' - Why do you believe otherwise? Because some lentil-soup eating Greenpeace member tells you it is? Why do you believe I believe otherwise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarmyArmy Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 All of them that publish research apart from Shaviv 2005 that thinks Cosmic rays are responsible (the obvious flaw is that solar radiation has been constant whilst temperatures have risen) and Zhen-Shan 2006 who make an assumption that CO2's relationship with temperature is linear rather than logarithmic making his conclusions demonstrably false. http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus.htm http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php?a=122 Sea level is rising 1.7 mm a year. http://www.skepticalscience.com/Visual-depictions-of-Sea-Level-Rise.html Arctic Ice is melting quicker than the predictions: http://www.skepticalscience.com/Arctic-sea-ice-melt-natural-or-man-made.htm Ice mass loss is occuring at an accelerated rate in Greenland, Antarctica and globally from inland glaciers. Arctic sea ice is also falling at an accelerated rate. The exception to this ice loss is Antarctic sea ice which has been growing despite the warming Southern Ocean. This is due to local factors unique to the area. http://www.skepticalscience.com/melting-ice-global-warming.htm More on the Antarctic Ice increasing, but also note the Antarctic has been warming beyond the global average: http://www.skepticalscience.com/increasing-Antarctic-Southern-sea-ice.htm False again: http://www.skepticalscience.com/medieval-warm-period.htm Although it has been warmer in the distant past explained by geological, solar and volcanic reasons. Utter tosh: http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-temperature-correlation.htm 97% of climate scientists actively publishing climate papers endorse the consensus position. http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus.htm And there are only 2 peer reviewed papers in the last 15 years that disagree with consensus. I have explained why both are wrong in response to your first point. http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php?a=122 There are plenty of scientists, meteorologists etc that dont buy into it so i guess its down to which ones you choose to believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildcat Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 There are plenty of scientists, meteorologists etc that dont buy into it so i guess its down to which ones you choose to believe When there is evidence there is no need to rely on guess work for making your judgments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I1L2T3 Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 When there is evidence there is no need to rely on guess work for making your judgments. What about mindless acceptance of a discredited scientific consensus. Will that do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarmyArmy Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 When there is evidence there is no need to rely on guess work for making your judgments. As a stand alone statement that it true however there is insufficient evidence to prove that the human race is responsible for all these supposed things that are happening in the world currently ... and indeed if they are happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildcat Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 As a stand alone statement that it true however there is insufficient evidence to prove that the human race is responsible for all these supposed things that are happening in the world currently ... and indeed if they are happening An anlaysis of 29,000 datasets shows it is happening: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20080514/ and an analysis of the mass spectrometry of the CO2 in the atmosphere causing rise in temperatures proves the man made source: http://www.bgc-jena.mpg.de/service/iso_gas_lab/publications/PG_WB_IJMS.pdf The evidence is more than sufficient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retep Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 Remember this fella, Dr Willie Soon, http://planetgore.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NGIzYjViYjA0OWQzOTY3M2ZkNDE2MDEzNWJmZTI2NzU= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildcat Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 Remember this fella, Dr Willie Soon, http://planetgore.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NGIzYjViYjA0OWQzOTY3M2ZkNDE2MDEzNWJmZTI2NzU= Yes, his paper was the one that was deeply flawed and caused such controversy at Climate Research when it was published that the editor and half the editorial board resigned in protest. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willie_Soon He has about as little credibility as it is possible to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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