tinfoilhat Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Wish i had bet on him last year If you'd stuck a fiver on brexit, trump and Leicester all winning you'd have won £1.25m. Well onee of us is right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil752 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 If you'd stuck a fiver on brexit, trump and Leicester all winning you'd have won £1.25m. Well onee of us is right! where is a delorean when you want one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Padders Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 :hihi: very droll phil752. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*_ash_* Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I think people didn't want to admit to voting brexit and certainly didn't want to admit for voting for trump. This is probably the main reason. - I did think that after hearing the weather people (of all predictors) getting it right on Monday that it would snow early wednesday morning was pretty impressive (though perhaps a lucky guess). Perhaps pollsters need to look more into meteorology as a method of predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snapshot Posted November 12, 2016 Author Share Posted November 12, 2016 I think people didn't want to admit to voting brexit and certainly didn't want to admit for voting for trump. Maybe because people were ridiculed or abused for supporting Trump. They must be idiots / uneducated / stupid / racist, so any discussion is instantly shut down. Their opinions were ignored so they took to the ballot box instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffrey Shaw Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 Remind me: what is the purpose of opinion polls? And why do they still pop up at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 This is the Donald Trump that the mainstream media don't put too much focus on. https://youtu.be/OCabT_O0YSM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gomgeg Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 Remind me: what is the purpose of opinion polls? And why do they still pop up at all? To provide employment for the pollsters and media pundits, they also help to fill up the schedules. What the pollsters tend to ignore is the fact is that it's a secret ballot and there are plenty of people like me around who would be inclined to tell them either to push off of give them the wrong information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ANGELFIRE1 Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 The Donald has put the squits up their Establishment, very similar to the Brexiteers putting the squits up our Establishments. I really love it, the people have spoken and our Establishment are in a state of near panic. That the pollsters got it completely wrong is no real surprise, after all polls are just a gestimate at best. It will be a long while before any one takes any notice of them, I guess many of them will have received their P45's. Angel1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unbeliever Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Always with political polls, voting intention is weighted by an estimate of the probability of each respondent actually turning up to vote. In both the Trump and Brexit cases these estimates were out. They were out because people behaved differently to how they have historically in terms of likelihood of voting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now