Jump to content

The Consequences of Brexit [part 5] Read 1st post before posting


Recommended Posts

You know India wants free movement of people as part of a trade deal with the UK right?

 

Can you guarantee that will not happen? No, beside you have no idea.

 

You can’t say it will definitely happen either....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You can’t say it will definitely happen either....

 

Nobody can say that anything will definitely happen but what we can say is that it will almost certainly happen.

 

The problem with living in your Brexit bubble is that you refuse to accept how very damaging to the UK economy leaving the EU will be. Unfortunately for the UK, unlike you, everyone else in the world can see very clearly what will happen and are queuing up to take advantage of our misfortune.

 

When the UK government is pleading for trade deals outside the EU, the first thing that countries like India and many African nations will demand is access for their citizens to the UK labour market.

 

As has been said many, many times on this thread, those who voted for Brexit to reduce the number of black and brown faces they see have almost certainly made sure that the opposite will happen!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Trump tells May to abandon 'unjustified' food standards for Brexit trade deal

http://uk.businessinsider.com/trump-uk-must-bin-unjustified-food-standards-for-brexit-trade-deal-2018-10

 

under US food regulation, producers are allowed certain amounts of foreign bodies like maggots, rat-hair and mould in a range of food products sold to consumers.

 

Yummy! ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you look at what the Indians are saying it’s precisely what they want.

 

You seem to have a hapless rose tinted view on what is going to happen.

The UK are an import country and not an export country, which means the UK should have the upper hand in most future trade negotiations with individual countries. If the UK has future shortages of skilled labour in any sectors then it is the responsibility of future Governments to issue work permits accordingly. It shouldn't make any difference which countries foreign workers come from after we leave the EU.

 

The fact is the UK haven't made any future trade arrangements with individual countries yet because the UK haven't left the EU yet.

 

---------- Post added 22-10-2018 at 09:24 ----------

 

we will be desperate to agree trade deals with everyone...any trade deals, we will be a small fish in a massive pond full of sharks

It shouldn't be hard to make trade agreements to continue the massive trade deficit the UK already have after we leave the EU.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The UK are an import country and not an export country, which means the UK should have the upper hand in most future trade negotiations with individual countries. If the UK has future shortages of skilled labour in any sectors then it is the responsibility of future Governments to issue work permits accordingly. It shouldn't make any difference which countries foreign workers come from after we leave the EU.

 

The fact is the UK haven't made any future trade arrangements with individual countries yet because the UK haven't left the EU yet.

 

---------- Post added 22-10-2018 at 09:24 ----------

 

It shouldn't be hard to make trade agreements to continue the massive trade deficit the UK already have after we leave the EU.

 

Your opening statement right there destroys any credibility you have. You are advocating that we as a country can be successful in trade by running a large trade deficit. Really?! Think about that.

 

Our services and financial sector props up our lack of material exports. On a related note, why do you think the US has started a trade war with China? It is because the US is running a large trade deficit.

 

You really have no idea how our economy works.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Your opening statement right there destroys any credibility you have. You are advocating that we as a country can be successful in trade by running a large trade deficit. Really?! Think about that.

 

Our services and financial sector props up our lack of material exports. On a related note, why do you think the US has started a trade war with China? It is because the US is running a large trade deficit.

 

You really have no idea how our economy works.

I am stating a fact that the UK are running a large trade deficit now, why we are still in the EU. You think about ......

 

The long term aim of the UK should be to reduce the very large trade deficit we currently have. The long term aim should be for our own work UK force to be more skilled.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am stating a fact that the UK are running a large trade deficit now, why we are still in the EU. You think about ......

 

The long term aim of the UK should be to reduce the very large trade deficit we currently have. The long term aim should be for our own work UK force to be more skilled.

 

So a large number of educated, English speaking Indians arriving here will be just what you want then right?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am stating a fact that the UK are running a large trade deficit now, why we are still in the EU.
There’s no problem inherent to a trade deficit of any size, so long as the national economy balances it out on the whole.

 

The U.K. is a first world knowledge economy, having transitioned from adding value through making things, to adding value by providing services (designing, assembling, financial, etc.). That’s how and why the U.K. got to global top 5 with a national economy, 80+% of which is services.

 

Your fundamental problem in a Brexit context, and the sub-topic of balancing goods imports with services exports, is that services are not covered by WTO rules and tariffs: they are wholly subjected to the whims of negotiations and strictures of FTAs and other bilateral/multilateral deals (-of which the EEA and the SM are only examples).

 

In the absence of FTAs, there are mountains of non-tariff barriers (NTBs) in the way of the U.K. exporting services (simple example: losing passporting rights is a NTB, because no more UK financial services about EU products/markets exported to non-EU clients = France, Ireland, Germany etc. hoover up that work, which still needs to be done, away from the U.K. Just business, nothing personal, but thanks for the gift all the same).

 

Brexit will manage turn the U.K. trade deficit, which currently is not problematic (because services excedent), into a big problem (due to gradual loss of services excedent), exacerbated by the weak(er) £ (which makes that deficit still larger in value).

Edited by L00b
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.